Wednesday, November 7, 2007

Dari BBC... Harga Minyak Mentah Naik Terus!

Oil races to fresh high above $97
Oil prices have risen to a record high above $97 a barrel, amid concerns over tight fuel stocks and a weak US dollar.

US crude oil rose $3 to a high of $97.10 before closing at $96.70, while the price of London Brent crude climbed to a record level of $93.26 a barrel.

The price of gold also surged to a record peak of $826.40 an ounce on the weak dollar and fears of inflation spurred by the record high oil prices.

Gold is seen as a haven for investors in times of stock market uncertainty.

Gold prices later eased slightly to close at $820.80.

'Bullish sentiment'

Oil prices fell $2 a barrel on Monday as investors worried that economic growth could slow in the US and curb demand for fuel, but soon resumed their seemingly remorseless climb towards the $100 mark.


If we have a combination of a drawdown in inventories and a cold spell in the US, that could cause a surge in pricing
Victor Shum, Purvin and Gertz

The latest rise was triggered by a combination of the weak dollar, an attack on a oil pipeline in the Yemen and fears of fresh volatility in the Middle East after a series of deadly bombings in Afghanistan.

"We seem to be seeing a tug of war between people taking profits and those coming into buy into dips, and they are effectively saying we can go past $100," said Mike Wittner at Societe Generale.

The focus now is on the latest snapshot of US crude oil reserves expected on Wednesday.

Analysts expect the stocks to have fallen by more than 1.5 million barrels in the past week, because of disruptions to short-haul Mexican shipments.

In remarks released ahead of the weekly inventory figures, the US Energy Information Administration said it expected US crude consumption to rise next year despite higher prices.

On the other hand, it expects inventories to have been depleted by about 11 million barrels by the end of the first quarter.

The agency also raised its price forecast for 2008 to $79.92 from $73.50 a barrel.

"Rising oil consumption and the realization that additional Opec production may not be sufficient to arrest the inventory decline are keeping markets firm," it noted.

Analysts said they expected the market to remain febrile as prices neared $100.

"But the overall market sentiment is still bullish and prices appear to be on an uptrend towards the $100 mark," said Victor Shum, from energy consultancy Purvin and Gertz.

"If we have a combination of a drawdown in inventories and a cold spell in the US, that could cause a surge in pricing."

Saturday, November 3, 2007

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Harga minyak mungkin menerobos US$100.00 se tong tahun ini...
Ikutilah berita dari BBC ini... Dan fikirkan saku kita yang bakal kosong setelah mengisi minyak 'panas'!

Masih tak percaya kah?


Oil retreats after breaching $96
Oil prices have retreated after breaching the $96-a-barrel mark and analysts expect volatility ahead.

Crude oil fell $1.04 to $93.49 a barrel by end of trade in New York after hitting $96.24 in overnight trade. Brent crude shed 91 cents to $89.72.

Even as prices retreated, analysts said that crude oil would probably break through $100 a barrel this year.

Strong demand from developing nations and a weak US dollar are likely to keep pushing prices up, they said.

There are also concerns about geopolitical issues such as a clash between the US and Iran, and an escalation of hostilities between Turkey and rebel Kurdish fighters based in the northern areas of Iraq.


We are stepping into an unknown area
Ken Hasegawa, Fimat Japan

The problem facing oil markets and analysts is that all of the factors are combining to create a high level of uncertainty in the market and this, in turn, is driving prices higher.

Sell signs

Oil prices surged on Wednesday after a report that showed domestic US crude stocks fell by 3.9 million barrels last week, worrying analysts who had forecast an increase of 100,000 barrels.

The US is the world's biggest energy consumer and the state of its inventories is a key concern for market watchers.

"We are stepping into an unknown area," said Ken Hasegawa, a broker at Fimat Japan, of the latest price spike.

"Nobody wants to sell, given the fear of a further rise."

At the same time, oil prices have risen as a weaker US dollar made oil, which is priced in dollars, cheaper to buy outside of the US.

The dollar hit its weakest levels against the pound since 1981 on Wednesday.

At the same time, oil investors have been casting a nervous eye on Turkey's threats to carry out a major military incursion into northern Iraq to attack Kurdish rebels.

In past months, there have also been concerns about the stop-start violence in Nigeria's main oil producing region, the international community's unresolved nuclear dispute with Iran and heating supplies for the US winter.

Mexico was forced to halt one-fifth of oil production at the start of the week by a tropical storm hitting its Caribbean coast, sparking further supply fears, but it has now resumed full production.

Fixing denied

Oil producers' body Opec continues to be criticised for not doing enough to restrain prices despite agreeing to lift daily output by 500,000 barrels, an increase which came into effect on Thursday.

A senior Opec official said the organisation was not to blame for the price rises and insisted there was no shortage of capacity in the market.

"We never fix oil prices," said Abdullah al-Attiyah, Qatar's energy minister.

"It is market driven and it is out of control."